CryptoPunk #5238 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Messy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $90,170). 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8295 2025-11-03: 54.7 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6898 2025-08-12: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-05-26: 64.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8619 2025-04-17: 62.4 ETH (44.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-12: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-01: 1.39 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-23: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.