CryptoPunk #5246 valuation (beta)
Male, Gold Chain, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4953 2026-05-11: 34.3 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8554 2026-04-07: 50.5 ETH (53.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4953 2026-03-11: 34.0 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4953 2026-03-11: 30.3 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-07: 0.30 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-09-29: 6.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-01: 5.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-09: 95.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-02-12: 109 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-13: 109 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.