CryptoPunk #5268 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Bandana, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,860). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 24.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (62.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2025-11-04: 33.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2564 2025-10-08: 49.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3181 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8335 2025-08-26: 51.2 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-06: 14.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-13: 89.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.