CryptoPunk #5269 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Knitted Cap, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $80,341). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2256 2026-03-29: 34.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2026-02-21: 52.7 ETH (53.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2404 2025-07-28: 52.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2025-07-25: 62.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8215 2025-06-26: 46.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-06-08: 51.8 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-26: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-09: 56.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-08: 29.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.