CryptoPunk #5309 valuation (beta)
Male, Wild Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $87,188). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-03-27: 27.3 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7282 2025-08-02: 60.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7042 2024-12-03: 46.3 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7042 2024-12-01: 45.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (58.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-27: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-07: 19.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-08: 24.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.