CryptoPunk #5316 valuation (beta)
Female, Pink With Hat, Cigarette, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 47.9 ETH (about $108,851). 1σ range 38.1 to 60.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 75.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 47.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.1 to 60.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 75.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Pink With Hat +29%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4214 2026-04-04: 32.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-01-03: 38.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2025-01-02: 38.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2024-12-21: 36.5 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9881 2024-11-14: 33.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4214 2024-11-09: 31.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.