CryptoPunk #535 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Mustache, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.8 ETH (about $79,078). 1σ range 31.9 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9915 2025-06-19: 46.8 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9915 2025-06-16: 43.5 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-06-08: 51.8 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-05-28: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9243 2025-03-21: 38.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9243 2025-01-17: 38.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.