CryptoPunk #536 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Hoodie, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 114 ETH (about $260,136). 1σ range 60.6 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 408 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 0.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 114 ETH (beta), 1σ range 60.6 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 408 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7213 2026-05-04: 115 ETH (111 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-04-23: 101 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3945 2026-01-24: 39.0 ETH (42.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4653 2025-07-25: 129 ETH (74.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-18: 58.4 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6479 2025-05-15: 51.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-23: 167 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.