CryptoPunk #5363 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Cap, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.8 ETH (about $81,411). 1σ range 32.6 to 39.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 43.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.6 to 39.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 43.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1223 2026-08-07: 41.8 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-06-04: 31.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2136 2026-03-04: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2136 2026-02-27: 34.3 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-25: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-10: 104 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-15: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-30: 90.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-01-31: 655 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.