CryptoPunk #5381 valuation (beta)
Male, Cowboy Hat, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 70.9 ETH (about $161,125). 1σ range 47.5 to 106 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 158 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 70.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 47.5 to 106 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 158 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Cowboy Hat +96%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 32.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6938 2026-07-03: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2833 2026-07-03: 76.0 ETH (70.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-02-08: 143 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-15: 62.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.