CryptoPunk #5383 valuation (beta)
Female, Dark Hair, Vape, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100 ETH, 20.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8201 2026-01-16: 29.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3043 2026-01-14: 40.0 ETH (41.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2026-01-03: 26.8 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2026-01-01: 25.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2918 2025-08-22: 47.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2918 2025-08-17: 49.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8201 2025-08-10: 55.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3043 2025-02-07: 39.9 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-10: 21.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 165 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-30: 62.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-05-04: 69.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-11: 38.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.