CryptoPunk #5386 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild Blonde, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 68.0 ETH, 15.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5347 2025-08-08: 70.0 ETH (39.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6338 2025-03-20: 51.0 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 30.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-10-15: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-09-27: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8276 2026-07-03: 36.4 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-11-09: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.