CryptoPunk #5396 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Mohawk Thin, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.8 ETH (about $67,850). 1σ range 27.3 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.3 to 32.6 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%, Mohawk Thin -11%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-02-05: 29.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5477 2025-08-20: 66.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8215 2025-06-26: 46.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4204 2025-02-07: 39.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-08-22: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-22: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.