CryptoPunk #5410 valuation (beta)
Male, Rosy Cheeks, Mustache, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,396). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7361 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1762 2025-04-23: 47.5 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3905 2025-03-29: 44.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1762 2025-03-17: 42.7 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7361 2025-02-26: 36.8 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7361 2025-02-18: 36.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1762 2025-01-22: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-09-12: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.