CryptoPunk #5411 valuation (beta)
Male, Wild Hair, Big Shades, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.7 ETH (about $72,160). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7282 2025-08-02: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2025-03-13: 45.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6892 2024-12-02: 46.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7773 2024-11-27: 46.7 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1349 2026-10-13: 38.7 ETH (37.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-08: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-13: 1.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 165 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.