CryptoPunk #5432 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.3 ETH, 11.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4643 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8855 2025-07-20: 42.0 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7506 2025-07-08: 39.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8855 2025-06-25: 39.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7693 2025-05-13: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7693 2025-04-30: 43.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2257 2024-11-06: 26.4 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-07: 0.06 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-07-09: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-12: 77.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-05: 23.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2025-09-16: 47.7 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-09-16: 47.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.