CryptoPunk #5434 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.5 ETH (about $81,275). 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 85.0 ETH, 11.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.9 to 36.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 39.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6395 2025-07-16: 41.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6395 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9735 2025-06-16: 48.8 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6395 2025-06-09: 44.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6395 2025-06-07: 44.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9735 2025-04-06: 48.6 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-21: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 68.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.