CryptoPunk #5444 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Top Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.4 ETH (about $98,779). 1σ range 36.7 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 60.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 130 ETH, 6.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.7 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 60.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6648 2026-08-03: 42.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7492 2026-07-23: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 41.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-28: 140 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-21: 84.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.