CryptoPunk #5450 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Stringy Hair, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.9 ETH (about $65,717). 1σ range 26.0 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 23.4 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.0 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 23.4 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Stringy Hair -9%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-02: 14.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-07: 32.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.