CryptoPunk #5459 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,568). 1σ range 27.4 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 36.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 47.0 ETH, 4.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.4 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.9 to 36.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5133 2026-09-22: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.