CryptoPunk #5490 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Half Shaved, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1612 2026-10-08: 44.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 31.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 30.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (92.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8418 2026-05-02: 35.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-11-07: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-09: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-01: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-11: 59.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-20: 63.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.