CryptoPunk #5495 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Chinstrap, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $76,639). 1σ range 31.0 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 59.0 ETH, 6.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-12: 33.2 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-04-25: 32.7 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-03-11: 31.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-03-06: 29.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-03-04: 33.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-13: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-22: 51.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-06: 33.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.