CryptoPunk #5499 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mole, Earring, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (92.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6340 2025-07-21: 52.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6340 2025-07-21: 49.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-21: 41.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-20: 40.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-04: 42.6 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2202 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-29: 0.21 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.