CryptoPunk #5512 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Vampire Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,786). 1σ range 30.5 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 39.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 59.7 ETH, 6.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 36.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 39.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-11-23: 37.5 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-08-09: 54.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-07-29: 53.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-07-28: 51.7 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-03-23: 39.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-03-19: 37.9 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-03-11: 40.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-17: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 58.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-17: 96.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-25: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-07: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-28: 54.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-28: 57.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.