CryptoPunk #5526 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Gold Chain, Cap Forward, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.8 ETH (about $79,078). 1σ range 31.6 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 42.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 122 ETH, 13.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 38.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 42.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 29.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-24: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-20: 62.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.