CryptoPunk #5538 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Police Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.7 ETH (about $83,530). 1σ range 32.9 to 41.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 41.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 45.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2925 2025-12-27: 26.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2925 2025-12-22: 24.9 ETH (27.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2925 2025-07-28: 55.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8014 2025-06-28: 41.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9178 2024-11-11: 31.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-13: 6.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-01-15: 7.00 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.