CryptoPunk #5581 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $85,923). 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 47.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8335 2025-08-26: 51.2 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3302 2025-04-22: 51.0 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8335 2025-02-27: 36.1 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8335 2025-02-24: 36.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3302 2024-12-02: 46.7 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-03-11: 78.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-12: 76.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-16: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-12-11: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-07: 39.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-01-19: 41.6 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-03: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-03: 51.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-03: 38.6 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-23: 40.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.