CryptoPunk #5609 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Bandana, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7502 2026-05-14: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8548 2025-10-03: 47.3 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2025-08-22: 46.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2024-11-18: 38.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 37.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 36.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3110 2024-11-15: 34.5 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-05: 24.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.