CryptoPunk #5620 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Bandana, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 119 ETH, 24.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2154 2026-07-21: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8400 2026-06-02: 37.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8548 2025-10-03: 47.3 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9286 2025-09-20: 49.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-08-28: 1.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-21: 15.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-29: 107 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 115 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.