CryptoPunk #5629 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Dark Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $87,862). 1σ range 32.8 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.9 ETH, 4.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 44.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8999 2026-06-25: 30.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-05-15: 47.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-05-02: 42.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-04-29: 42.6 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4332 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4332 2024-11-26: 34.5 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-10: 9.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 15.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-30: 26.3 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-11: 29.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.