CryptoPunk #5633 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Top Hat, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.1 ETH (about $100,359). 1σ range 37.1 to 52.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.1 to 52.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 62.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-03-04: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2025-10-04: 47.9 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-23: 0.30 ETH (sale, not used: no-floor)
- 2017-07-03: 0.30 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.