CryptoPunk #5653 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 25.3 ETH (about $57,574). 1σ range 21.8 to 29.5 ETH, 2σ range 18.7 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 25.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 21.8 to 29.5 ETH, 2σ range 18.7 to 34.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-07: 0.33 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-22: 52.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 77.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 91.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-24: 119 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.