CryptoPunk #5661 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Earring, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,428). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 60.0 ETH, 6.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 41.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1717 2026-08-23: 38.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-13: 37.0 ETH (35.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6562 2026-08-12: 33.2 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-19: 0.37 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-07: 69.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-16: 69.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-05-25: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-09: 50.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.