CryptoPunk #5731 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Mole, Red Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.7 ETH, 11.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5702 2025-09-12: 58.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1706 2025-08-10: 55.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5137 2025-07-25: 51.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1900 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6383 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1900 2025-07-18: 38.5 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4637 2025-06-23: 41.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4637 2025-06-20: 39.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 16.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-15: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 23.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 23.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-24: 34.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-04: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-04: 48.0 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-04: 48.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.