CryptoPunk #578 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,851). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7516 2026-04-04: 51.0 ETH (54.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7516 2025-05-28: 60.0 ETH (38.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-16: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-11: 54.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.