CryptoPunk #5802 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Shadow Beard, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $66,602). 1σ range 26.7 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 35.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.7 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 35.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4770 2026-03-28: 117 ETH (122 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-17: 78.0 ETH (61.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3296 2025-03-10: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-05: 0.25 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.