CryptoPunk #581 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Blonde Short, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,155). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5677 2026-08-29: 32.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8999 2026-06-25: 30.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5677 2026-05-21: 33.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5508 2026-04-25: 30.1 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4214 2026-04-04: 32.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.