CryptoPunk #5816 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Cap Forward, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,405). 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3612 2025-07-28: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-07-16: 41.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-09: 44.9 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-07: 44.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4155 2025-05-30: 55.5 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.