CryptoPunk #5817 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Vampire Hair, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.5 ETH (about $64,727). 1σ range 25.7 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 54.0 ETH, 6.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.7 to 31.5 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Handlebars -6%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1370 2025-07-25: 58.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-05-30: 0.05 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-02: 137 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-04: 43.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.