CryptoPunk #5824 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Headband, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.8 ETH (about $108,628). 1σ range 36.8 to 54.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 66.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 500 ETH, 12.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.8 to 54.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 66.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Headband -4%, 3D Glasses +46%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7211 2025-08-08: 75.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9438 2025-07-24: 66.7 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7894 2025-07-23: 48.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7894 2025-06-04: 45.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7981 2025-05-15: 46.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4368 2025-04-07: 42.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3441 2025-04-04: 69.7 ETH (49.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.