CryptoPunk #5829 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-09-03: 30.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-08-09: 33.4 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-06-29: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2772 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-04-21: 26.6 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-04-16: 24.6 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1616 2026-01-22: 30.5 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-12-30: 6.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-02: 10.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-15: 13.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 34.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-03: 37.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-30: 73.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.