CryptoPunk #5836 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Dark Hair, Cigarette, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,279). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 368 ETH, 45.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1139 2025-04-23: 46.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1139 2025-01-14: 37.0 ETH (27.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5713 2026-10-06: 49.0 ETH (44.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4711 2026-08-20: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5032 2026-05-15: 29.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5032 2026-05-14: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 88.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.