CryptoPunk #5840 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Peak Spike, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,551). 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.4 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2024-11-14: 37.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3945 2026-01-24: 39.0 ETH (42.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1331 2025-11-24: 33.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1331 2025-11-06: 37.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5966 2025-10-05: 53.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5966 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-07: 18.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-07: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 50.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-12: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-23: 71.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-25: 73.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.