CryptoPunk #5843 valuation (beta)
Female, Frumpy Hair, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 8.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 28.4 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4351 2026-10-02: 31.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-04: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-22: 54.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-04-24: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-15: 60.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-09-17: 62.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-19: 63.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.