CryptoPunk #5846 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Goat, Do-rag, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.5 ETH (about $69,256). 1σ range 27.7 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 36.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Goat -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2557 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-20: 41.0 ETH (26.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3960 2026-09-22: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-07-26: 0.12 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-26: 1.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-11: 1.21 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-11: 46.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-18: 124 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.