CryptoPunk #5850 valuation (beta)
Male, Peak Spike, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $82,653). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.0 ETH, 5.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3193 2025-07-20: 45.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 10.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 13.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-02: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-11: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-19: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-24: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-20: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-25: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-25: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.