CryptoPunk #5854 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Shaved Head, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.1 ETH (about $93,350). 1σ range 35.6 to 47.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 54.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.6 to 47.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 54.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%, Shaved Head -7%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1575 2026-07-02: 48.9 ETH (45.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8048 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6207 2026-04-16: 46.0 ETH (53.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8048 2026-04-06: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-03-16: 33.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6207 2025-11-12: 44.0 ETH (37.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.