CryptoPunk #5861 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.1 ETH (about $68,326). 1σ range 27.5 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 35.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.5 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 35.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-07-04: 34.4 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-06-11: 31.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-13: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-09: 46.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-10: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-02: 68.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-17: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-21: 36.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.