CryptoPunk #5863 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Rosy Cheeks, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.9 ETH (about $68,067). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Stringy Hair -3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8809 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7484 2026-02-05: 27.0 ETH (27.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5467 2025-09-23: 45.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1628 2025-09-08: 48.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1628 2025-08-28: 44.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1628 2025-08-28: 44.4 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7484 2025-07-22: 47.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6481 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-28: 23.8 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-05: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-08: 27.1 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-08: 26.8 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.