CryptoPunk #5866 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Goat, Police Cap, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $70,967). 1σ range 26.4 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 23.9 to 35.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.4 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 23.9 to 35.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5559 2026-09-21: 30.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4708 2026-05-07: 30.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8864 2026-03-29: 31.5 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-06: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-09: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-29: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.